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May 13, 2008

A Summer Break for the Student Vote?

Westvirginia_2 If there's any surprise that has stood out among a year of surprises, it's been the mobilization of student voters around the country.  Compared to previous years, the turnout has been impressive.

The remaining big states on the calendar seem like a Division I-A college football schedule: West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon, then you get South Dakota in there for your early season easy win.  One of the first things a political organizer does when they hit the ground for a campaign is look at the available volunteer pool - and students are a big part of that.  So a look at the academic calendar of the local university is required reading.  Here's what we find in these states:

Of the remaining states, all of the major public institutions will be out of session by the time the state holds a primary - except for Oregon. 

West Virginia University officially let out last week, both the University of Kentucky and the University of Louisville are in Summer break, and South Dakota is done for the academic year.  Among major public institutions, seems like only the Oregon schools will be in session when the primaries come to town.

This didn't seem to be a problem earlier this year when Iowa students returned to campus in order to vote on January 3rd, but that was also in the middle of the semester.  In other words, students still had their dorm and campus area housing.  At this point, many students will have moved for the summer which means they may no longer live where they are registered to vote. 

Politico received a tip yesterday from a lawyer who thinks that certain election rule books in West Virginia outline stricter standards than necessary pertaining to required ID, and that such strict rules could disproportionately affect students who may hold ID's from other areas.

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Comments

Mr. Super, what do you expect will happen on May 31st when Michigan and Florida are discussed again?

They've said they don't want to commit to a compromise unless both Clinton and Obama camps will agree. But that doesn't seem to be in the cards right now. Leading in all statistical categories, Mr. Obama's campaign surely won't agree to anything that might put his lead at risk. Backed into a corner, with superdelegates slipping away, Mrs. Clinton's camp has to try for the home run - seating full MI and FL delegations according to the earlier vote. No room for compromise unless/until Clinton accepts that the nomination is out of reach for her.

If that doesn't happen, everything will be punted to the RBC, where the balance of power is still held by those who haven't yet committed. They may choose to delay yet again, in hopes that the nomination would be settled and delegations can be seated without further controversy. But they surely won't allow the delegations to be seated in such a way as to affect the outcome - that would undermine the punishment. The rules allow the national party to set some kind of coordinated policy for the primary schedule, and they won't reward the state parties for violating the policy.

I don't think the issue with the college vote in Oregon is much of an issue because it's a mail-in primary.

Speaking of mail-in primary. I remember hearing about that a week or so ago. Wouldn't this mean the results of Oregon would not be made clear on the same day? Are the votes due on Primary Day, or just need to be postmarked by Primary Day?

Oddly enough, I've worked elections in three of the four states remaining on the calendar (Montana being the only exception).

The rules in Oregon state that ballots must be received by election night. A postmark of that day is not good enough. So election day in Oregon looks a lot different than in other places.

If you ever been to the post office on tax day to mail your returns, you know that government workers stand outside with bins in order to accommodate the traffic created by everyone trying to get their taxes in on time. Well, election day in Oregon looks a lot like tax day in most other states. Election workers standing outside at authorized drop-off locations with bins for voters to hand-off ballots.

It's quite interesting. And the mail-in process is an outstanding exercise in voter participation. In 2004, Multnomah County (Portland) had an 85% voter turnout.

http://www.co.multnomah.or.us/dbcs/elections/2004-11/turnout.shtml

No wonder I got that email saying that Barack is working on calling the people in Oregon right now instead of worrying about WV. Apparently, the voters now have ballots in hand, so they're trying to get people to decide while on the phone and there and put it into the mail.

Isn't that dangerous not to do it by postmark? Not doing so could open up charges of fraud.

I voted absentee in my state (mail-in) and because I am Independent, they didn't send me a ballot for the Democratic Primary even though it was open to walk-ins. I would have walked in, but I did that for John Kerry and they forced me to do it provisional. If he didn't win my state, I would have caused more of a stink. I've felt disenfranchised by my state. If it was winner take all for Clinton, it wouldn't have mattered. Wonder how many more felt this way?

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