If it's Tuesday, it must be Election Day!

We are at one of the odd Tuesdays on the 2008 calendar which does not host a nominating contest.

Just for yucks, I sketched out a list of Tuesdays from January 1st through today.  There have been 22 Tuesdays so far, and we have had elections on 10 of them (12 if you count Michigan and Florida - wow that issue comes up in EVERYTHING now!).

Another metric?

If you look at which candidate leads among elections held on Tuesdays, well, they are tied at three wins each and four days in which they each won contests.  Unless you count Michigan and Florida.  In which case Clinton leads by two.  Here we go again...

Comments

[Joe]

She also claims a lead in "voters who know what Punch & Judy are" these days, which is a key electability requirement in certain swing states :-)

[Dave]

I don't understand why Bill is out on the trail using the General Election and Electoral votes to justify overturning the primary?

Hillary is winning the General Election. She has more Electoral votes then Obama vs McCain. I thought you had to win the Primary first. The polls for the General only show trends at this point. You still have half of the Democrats going with each candidate. The numbers will change after June 3rd. You will then start to get a true feel for the direction of movement in the General Election.

As I check the polls Penn, Ohio, CO, NM, VA, MI, WI, OR, NV, NH, Iowa, MO all look good for Obama. I would include Clinton but at this point the Primary seems to be over.

[suekzoo]

Dave says: I don't understand why Bill is out on the trail using the General Election and Electoral votes to justify overturning the primary?

Ya know what, I hear you loud and clear! So much of what Bill has said during this primary season has just left me shaking my head...like if we were like the Republicans and didn't have caucuses, and didn't have proportional awarding of delegates...and when he said to that NH audience, "I can't make her taller or younger or male..." Talk about your basic sexist statement! And proposing the dream ticket with Obama as
the VP while he's ahead of Hillary.

Bubba said something else a few months ago that was just puzzling. We know there is some fondness between him and Bush, Sr. But I was aghast when I saw this: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2007/12/18/elder-bush-nixes-clinton-trip-idea/

[Heidi]

Dave and Suekzoo,
I completely agree. I think Bill has gone a little off his nut and it scares me to think why he's using such an illegitimate argument. First off, Hillary and Barack will not be running against eachother in the general election. Once you throw Republicans into the mix and take out one Democratic candidate, the wins and losses will be completely different. The Clintons are counting the electoral college wins in CA, MA, NY, ME, NJ, RI, VE as states that Hillary wins with regard to electoral college votes. With Hillary out, they will go to Obama so I don't understand how that is an argument.

So Bill is saying, "if this were the general election and if the general election consisted of two democratic candidates only, Hillary would win". This is an incredibly lame argument and the only reason I can think that someone as intelligent as Bill would make this argument is that he's made a lot of promises to a lot of people. He can not deliver on these promises unless Hillary gets into the White House. Why else would all these foreign gov'ts be paying him money/investing in the Clintons? They're currying favor and the next administration had better watch out with regard to what position of power they give her. That includes the VP slot.

[suekzoo]

Heidi,

I think what Bill is saying is that Hillary is beating McCain in head-to-head polling, thus she is winning the GE if it were held today.

But Obama is also beating McCain in head-to-head polling, although not quite as big a margin as Hillary.

It's just a dumb argument really, since the GE is not today, and the GE campaigning is only getting started.

[Truth]

Stop playing stupid already. The electoral map favors Hillary by a wide margin. Unlike the DNC primary, this is easy. Show me a primary race (Democrat or Republican) that is this close and one candidate shows a far superior ability to beat the opposing party. When somebody is hired, their ability to handle the job is a factor.

The closest we've seen with a GE contest is the past two weeks and Obama has contradicted his entire foreign policy platform. How can he come from behind if he can't do well on long distance, heavily delayed debates? His real chance is the media will not hold him to the same standard as McCain, as they have done his entire career. Why anybody would want a president elected in that fashion is beyond me.

[Truth]

http://election.loquacious.org/2008-presidential/Clinton/

If it is too hard, watch the pretty colors turn blue.

[Truth]

RICHARD STENGEL, MANAGING EDITOR, "TIME": Well, look, Wolf, I would be a liar if I said that there hasn't been a certain amount of glee in the press corps about Hillary Clinton not doing that well.
CNN 5/26/08
http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0805/26/sitroom.03.html

It is not paranoia when it is true. The press has become the enemy of the American citizen. What is even sadder, not a single person claimed he was wrong or found what he said shocking.